Volume 42 Issue 9
Sep.  2021
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ZHOU Jimin, ZHANG Haichen, WANG Moran. Machine Learning With Physical Empirical Model Constraints for Prediction of Shale Oil Production[J]. Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, 2021, 42(9): 881-890. doi: 10.21656/1000-0887.420015
Citation: ZHOU Jimin, ZHANG Haichen, WANG Moran. Machine Learning With Physical Empirical Model Constraints for Prediction of Shale Oil Production[J]. Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, 2021, 42(9): 881-890. doi: 10.21656/1000-0887.420015

Machine Learning With Physical Empirical Model Constraints for Prediction of Shale Oil Production

doi: 10.21656/1000-0887.420015
  • Received Date: 2021-01-14
  • Rev Recd Date: 2021-04-06
  • Available Online: 2021-09-29
  • Prediction of oil and gas production is an important way to determine its development economy. However, at present the production prediction is still hard to achieve consistency between the physics-based method and the data-based method. For shale oil and gas production analysis, in-depth combination of mathematical advantages brought by BP neural networks and LSTM neural networks, and comprehensive consideration of physics-based models, lead to good improvement in the prediction accuracy of the model. After training with practical testing data, the prediction of oilfield production can be significantly improved. Afterwards, the effects of the reservoir depth, the TOC and the brittleness, etc. on production prediction were studied. In conclusion, the work provides reliable production prediction and economic evaluation for large-scale development of shale oil and gas.
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