An Epidemic Model With Saturated Media/Psychological Impact
-
摘要: 媒体报道对传染病的感染率有着重要的影响,为探究这种影响建立了一个受媒体影响且具有分段感染率的传染病模型.首先,计算出模型的所有平衡态,并根据基本再生数的大小分析了各平衡态的局部稳定性.其次,通过排除极限换的存在性证明了平衡态的全局渐近稳定性.最后,对媒体影响传染病模型的动力学性态进行了讨论.Abstract: Media has important influence on incidence rate of infectious disease. An epidemic model with segmented incidence rate was formulated and analyzed to describe the saturated media/psychology impact. Firstly all possible regular/virtual equilibria of the system was found out, and the local stability of the equilibria was analyzed in terms of the basic reproduction number. The global asymptotic stability of the positive equilibriums could then be obtained by excluding the existence of limit cycle for the system. The effect of saturated media/psychology impact on dynamics was discussed.
-
Key words:
- media coverage /
- epidemic model /
- piecewise smooth /
- global stability
-
[1] Czene K, Reilly M, Hall P, Hartman M. A constant risk for familial breast cancer?a populationbased family study[J]. Breast Cancer Res,2009, 11(3): R30. [2] MeyerRienecker H, Buddenhagen F. Incidence of multiple sclerosis: a periodic orstable phenomenon[J].J Neurol,1988, 235(4): 241-244. [3] Neaigus A, Jenness S M, Hagan H, Murrill C S, Torian L V, Wendel T, GelpiAcosta C. Estimating HIV incidence and the correlates of recent infection in venuesampled men who have sex with men in New York city[J].AIDS Behav,2012, 16(3): 516-524. [4] Liu R, Wu J, Zhu H. Media/psychological impact on multiple outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases[J].Comput Math Methods Med,2007, 8(3): 153-164. [5] Xiao D, Ruan S. Global analysis of an epidemic model with nonmonotone incidence rate[J].Math Biosci,2007, 208(2): 419-429. [6] Li B, Yuan S, Zhang W. Analysis on an epidemic model with a ratio-dependent nonlinear incidence rate[J].Int J Biomath,2011, 4(2): 227-239. [7] Sun C, Yang W, Arinoa J, Khan K. Effect of mediainduced social distancing on disease transmission in a two patch setting[J].Math Biosci,2011, 230(2): 87-95. [8] Cui J, Sun Y, Zhu H. The impact of media on the control of infectious diseases[J].Journal of Dynamics and Differential Equations,2008, 20(1): 31-53. [9] Tchuenche J M, Bauch C T. Dynamics of an infectious disease where media coverage influences transmission[J].ISRN Biomathematics,2012, 2012: Article ID 581274, 10 Pages.doi: 10.5402/2012/581274. [10] Zou W, Xie J. An SI epidemic model with nonlinear infection rate and stage structure[J].Int J Biomath,2009, 2(1): 19-27. [11] Wang W. Backward bifurcation of an epidemic model with treatment[J].Math Biosci,2006, 201(1/2): 58-71. [12] di Bernardo M, Budd C, Champneys A R, Kowalczyk P, Nordmark A B, Olivar G, Piiroinen P T. Bifurcations in non-smooth dynamical systems[J].SIAM Review,2008, 50(4):629-701. [13] Filippov A F.Differential Equations With Discontinuous Right-Hand Sides[M]. The Netherlands: Kluwer Academic, 1988. [14] Tang S, Xiao Y. One-compartment model with Michaelis-Menten elimination kinetics and therapeutic window: an analytical approach[J].J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn,2007, 34(6): 807-827. [15] Corless R M, Gonnet G H, Hare D E G, Jeffrey D J , Knuth D E. On the Lambert-W-function[J].Adv Comput Math,1996, 5(1): 329-359.
点击查看大图
计量
- 文章访问数: 1991
- HTML全文浏览量: 111
- PDF下载量: 1753
- 被引次数: 0