LEUNG Andrew Y T, XU Jia-na, TSUI Wing-shum. Nonlinear Delay Difference Equations for Housing Dynamics Assuming Heterogeneous BackwardOLooking Expectations[J]. Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, 2007, 28(6): 699-712.
Citation: LEUNG Andrew Y T, XU Jia-na, TSUI Wing-shum. Nonlinear Delay Difference Equations for Housing Dynamics Assuming Heterogeneous BackwardOLooking Expectations[J]. Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, 2007, 28(6): 699-712.

Nonlinear Delay Difference Equations for Housing Dynamics Assuming Heterogeneous BackwardOLooking Expectations

  • Received Date: 2005-11-02
  • Rev Recd Date: 2007-02-17
  • Publish Date: 2007-06-15
  • This paper aims to analyze the housing price dynamics after an unanticipated economic shock,which was believed to have similar properties with the backward-looking expectation models. The analysis of the housing price dynamics was based on the cobweb model with a simple user cost affected demand and a stockOflow supply assumption.Several n thOorder delay rational difference equations were set up to illustrate the properties of housing dynamics phenomena,such as the equilibrium or oscillations,overshoot or undershoot and convergent or divergent,for a kind of heterogeneous backward-looking expectation models.The results show that demand elasticity is less than supply elasticity is not a necessary condition for the occurrence of oscillation.The housing price dynamics will vary substantially with the heterogeneous backward-looking expectation assumption and some other endogenous factors.
  • loading
  • [1]
    Hanushek E A,Quigley J M.The dynamics of housing market: a stock adjustment model of housing adjustment[J].Journal of Applied Econometrics,1979,6(1):90-111.
    [2]
    Pozdena R J.Do interest rates still affect housing[J].Economic Review,1990,90(3):3-14.
    [3]
    Tse R Y C,Ho C W,Ganesan S.Matching housing supply and demand: an empirical study of Hong Kong's market[J].Construction Management and Economics,1999,17(5):625-633. doi: 10.1080/014461999371231
    [4]
    Gauger J,Snyder T C.Residential fixed investment and macroeconomy: has deregulation altered key relationships?[J].Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,2003,27(3):335-354. doi: 10.1023/A:1025842108205
    [5]
    Meen G P.Housing cycles and efficiency[J].Scottish Journal of Political Economy,2002,47(2):114-140.
    [6]
    Laura B-T,Ellis L. Housing construction cycles and interest rates[Z]. Research Discussion Paper, Reserve Bank of Australia,2004.
    [7]
    Kahn G A. The changing interest sensitivity of the U S economy[J].Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, Economic Review,1989,11(1):13-34.
    [8]
    Wheaton W C. Real estate “cycles”:some fundamentals[J].Real Estate Economics,1999,27(2):209-230. doi: 10.1111/1540-6229.00772
    [9]
    Poterba J M.Tax subsidies to owner-occupied housing: an asset-market approach[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1984,99(4):729-752. doi: 10.2307/1883123
    [10]
    Hommes C H.Financial markets as nonlinear adaptive evolutionary system[J].Quantitative Finance,2001,1(1):149-167. doi: 10.1080/713665542
    [11]
    Muth J F.Rational expectations and the theory of price movements[J].Econometric,1961,29(3):315-335. doi: 10.2307/1909635
    [12]
    Case K E,Shiller R J.The efficiency of the market for single family homes[J].American Economic Review,1989,79(1):125-137.
    [13]
    Buchanan N S.A reconsideration of the cobweb theorem[J].The Journal of Political Economy,1939,47(1):67-81. doi: 10.1086/255343
    [14]
    Stein J L.Cobwebs, rational expectations and futures markets[J].The Review of Economics Studies,1992,74(1):127-134. doi: 10.2307/2109550
    [15]
    Kaldor N.A classificatory note on the determinateness of equilibrium[J].Review of Economics Studies,1934,1(2):122-136. doi: 10.2307/2967618
    [16]
    Ezekiel M.The cobweb model[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1938,52(2):255-280. doi: 10.2307/1881734
    [17]
    Nerlove M.Adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1958,72(2):227-240. doi: 10.2307/1880597
    [18]
    Brock W A,Hommes C H.Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model[J].Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,1998,22(8):1235-1274. doi: 10.1016/S0165-1889(98)00011-6
    [19]
    Goerce J K,Hommes C H.Heterogeneous beliefs and the non-linear cobweb model[J].Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,2000,24(5):761-798. doi: 10.1016/S0165-1889(99)00025-1
    [20]
    Kulenovic M R S,Ladas G.Dynamics of Second Order Rational Difference Equations: With Open Problems and Conjectures[M].New York: Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2002.
    [21]
    Pielou E C.Population and Community Ecology[M].New York: Gordon and Breach,1974.
    [22]
    Milton J G,Belair J.Chaos, noise, and extinction in models of population growth[J].Theoretical Population Biology,1990,37(2):273-290. doi: 10.1016/0040-5809(90)90040-3
    [23]
    Graef J R,Qian C,Spikes P W.Stability in a population model[J].Applied Mathematics and Computation,1998,89(1):119-132.
    [24]
    Hommes C H.Dynamics of the cobweb model with adaptive expectations and nonlinear supply and demand[J].Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization,1994,24(3):315-335. doi: 10.1016/0167-2681(94)90039-6
    [25]
    Quigley J M.Real estate prices and economic cycles[J].International Real Estate Review,1999,2(1):1-20.
    [26]
    Capozza D R,Hendershott P H,Mack C.An anatomy of price dynamics in illiquid markets: analysis and evidence from local housing markets[J].Real Estate Economics,2004,32(1):1-32. doi: 10.1111/j.1080-8620.2004.00082.x
    [27]
    Pielou E C.An Introduction to Mathematical Ecology[M].New York: Wiley Interscience,1969.
    [28]
    Kuruklis S A,Ladas G.Oscillation and global attractivity in a discrete delay logistic model[J].Quarterly of Applied Mathematics,1992,2(2):227-233.
    [29]
    Liu P Z,Cui X Y.Hyperbolic logistic difference equation with infinitely many delays[J].Mathematics and Computers in Simulation,2000,52(3):231-250. doi: 10.1016/S0378-4754(00)00153-1
    [30]
    Kocic V L,Ladas G.Dynamics of Second Order Rational Difference Equations: With Open Problems and Conjectures[M].New York: Chapman & Hall,2002.
    [31]
    Kocic V L,Ladas G.Global Behavior of Nonlinear Difference Equations of Higher Order With Applications[M].Holland: Kluwer Academic Publishers,1993.
    [32]
    Levin S,May R.A note on difference-delay equations[J].Theoretical Population Biology,1976,9(4):178-187. doi: 10.1016/0040-5809(76)90043-5
    [33]
    Gyri I,Ladas G.Oscillation Theory of Delay Differential Equations[M].New York: Oxford Science,1991.
    [34]
    Gyri I,Ladas G,Vlahos P N.Global attractivity and persistence in a discrete population model[J].Nonlinear Analysis,1991,17(5):473-479. doi: 10.1016/0362-546X(91)90142-N
    [35]
    Liz E.On explicit conditions for the asymptotic stability of linear higher order difference equations[J].Journal of Mathematics Analysis and Applications,2005,303(2):492-498. doi: 10.1016/j.jmaa.2004.08.048
    [36]
    Kahneman D,Tversky A.Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk[J].Econometrica,1979,47(2):263-291. doi: 10.2307/1914185
    [37]
    Kahneman D,Tversky A.Judgement Under Uncertainty Heuristics and Biases[M].Cambridge: Cambridge University Press,1982.
  • 加载中

Catalog

    通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com
    • 1. 

      沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院 沈阳 110142

    1. 本站搜索
    2. 百度学术搜索
    3. 万方数据库搜索
    4. CNKI搜索

    Article Metrics

    Article views (2564) PDF downloads(732) Cited by()
    Proportional views
    Related

    /

    DownLoad:  Full-Size Img  PowerPoint
    Return
    Return